← Decided
St. Louis vs San Francisco: Spread — St. Louis wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-09-12T19:45 · claim page
already no
high confidence
buy NO
price moved
96 → 7
in the last 48h
bid 0.070 / ask 0.080
7.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence.
the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty:
34d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-09T22:48:37
- Price as shown:
not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. St. Louis wins by more than 1.5 runs in the St. Louis vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT.
Named authority. Governing League (e.g., MLB)
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. Sep 9, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT (scheduled start of game)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
San Francisco 7, St. Louis 6 on September 9, 2026
Multiple news sources report the final score as San Francisco 7, St. Louis 6, meaning St. Louis lost and therefore did not win by more than 1.5 runs.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
San Francisco 7, St. Louis 6 ↗
https://sfexaminer.com/ap/sports/agate/san-francisco-7-st-louis-6/article_6d89c68a-0584-5feb-a7c9-2359e3e4d837.html · 2026-09-09
Scores and schedule for Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2026 ↗
https://infonews.ca/news/7866309/scores-and-schedule-for-wednesday-sept-9-2026 · 2026-09-10
Wednesday’s Scoreboard MLB American League Athletics 2 Toronto 0 Detroit 7 Minnesota 2 Seattle 3 Texas 2 Baltimore 9 Cleveland 5 L.A. Angels 6 Boston 4 National League San Francisco 7 St. Louis 6 San Diego 9 Washington 2 N.Y. Mets 15 Miami 14 Milwaukee 8 Chicago Cubs 6 L.A. Dodgers 14 Cincinnati 1 Interleague […]
6 retrieved but not cited
Scoreboard roundup — 9/9/26 ↗
(NEW YORK) - Here are the scores from Wednesday's sports events: MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALLTwins 2, Tigers 7Blue Jays 0, Athletics 2Cardinals 6, Giants 7Rangers 2, Mariners 3Nationals 2, Padres 9Guardians 5, Orioles 9Astros 7, Phillies 11Mets 15, Marlins 14Angels 6, Red Sox 4Rockies 1, Yankees [...]
MLB: St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants ↗
Sep 9, 2026; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants pitcher Matt Wilkinson (71) delivers a pitch against the St. Louis Cardinals during the seventh inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: D. Ross Cameron-Imagn Images
Cardinals Giants Baseball ↗
San Francisco Giants' Bryce Eldridge hits an RBI single during the first inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in San Francisco, Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2026.
Cardinals Giants Baseball ↗
San Francisco Giants' Christian Koss runs home to score against the St. Louis Cardinals during the third inning of a baseball game, Monday, Sept. 7, 2026, in San Francisco.
Adjudicated 33d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.