Houston vs Philadelphia: Spread — Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-12T22:40 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 34d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Philadelphia wins by more than 3.5 runs in the Houston vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT.
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified. The rules do not specify the form of evidence; typically official game results from the governing league would be used.
Deadline. Game date: September 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. (Resolution after game conclusion.)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The contract is for a game on September 9, 2026. Evidence [11] shows a box score for a game on September 9, 2026, with the score Astros 6, Phillies 5. Thus Philadelphia lost, and certainly did not win by more than 3.5 runs.
The box score in evidence [11] shows Astros 6, Phillies 5 on September 9, 2026, which means Philadelphia lost. Therefore they did not win by over 3.5 runs. The condition is already impossible to be met.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution criteria do not specify a required form of evidence; however, the typical form for a sports game outcome is an official box score or final score from the league or a recognized sports outlet. Evidence [11] provides a box score with a clear final score. But the contract rules do not name a specific authority, so authority_met is false because no authority is named. But the evidence is sufficient to establish the outcome. Actually, authority_rule is unspecified, and authorities is empty, meaning any reliable source might suffice. So we can consider the box score as reliable. Form_
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official MLB source showing the final score of the Philadelphia vs Houston game on September 9, 2026, confirming the losing margin for Philadelphia. The box score from MLB.com or consistent news outlet would be sufficient. However, since authority is unspecified, any reliable source is okay.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 32d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.