Detroit vs Toronto: Spread — Detroit wins by over 7.5 runs
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-18T23:07 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 28d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-16T10:33:12
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Detroit wins by more than 7.5 runs in the Detroit vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:07 PM EDT.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- A Detroit win by exactly 7.5 runs (ties do not count as 'more than')
- Any game other than the one originally scheduled for that date and time
Deadline. 2026-09-15T19:07:00-04:00 (game start time; resolution typically occurs after the game ends)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Detroit won 10-1 over Toronto in the game on September 15, 2026, a margin of 9 runs which exceeds 7.5.
Multiple independent sources (e.g., scores reported on Sept. 16) confirm Detroit 10, Toronto 1 on the scheduled date, a margin >7.5 runs.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 26d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.