Baltimore vs New York M: Spread — Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-18T23:10 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 28d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-15T08:35:09
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Baltimore wins by more than 1.5 runs (i.e., margin > 1.5) in the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- Baltimore wins by exactly 1.5 runs
- Baltimore loses or ties
- Game is postponed, cancelled, or not completed
Deadline. 2026-09-15T19:10:00-04:00
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The Orioles defeated the Mets 2–1 on September 15, 2026, a margin of 1 run.
Multiple credible sources (photo gallery caption and sports scoreboard) report a final score of Baltimore 2, New York 1, meaning Baltimore's margin of victory is 1 run, which is not greater than 1.5.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 26d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.