San Diego vs Colorado: Spread — Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-19T00:40 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 28d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-15T22:35:39
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Colorado wins by more than 3.5 runs in the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT
Form the evidence must take. unspecified — the rules do not name a specific source or medium for determining the final score
Does not count.
- Colorado wins by exactly 3.5 runs (not possible with integer run totals, but any margin of 3 or fewer runs does not satisfy 'more than 3.5')
- Colorado loses or ties
Deadline. The game is originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT; no explicit resolution deadline is stated beyond the occurrence of the game
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Colorado Rockies defeated San Diego Padres 9-3 on September 15, 2026, in Denver, a margin of 6 runs, which exceeds 3.5 runs.
A contemporaneous report explicitly states the Rockies defeated the Padres 9-3 on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, in Denver, matching the scheduled game in question. Colorado's margin of 6 runs is greater than 3.5 runs, so the condition is already met.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 26d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.