Kansas City vs Pittsburgh: Spread — Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-21T22:40 · claim page

already no high confidence buy YES price moved 11 → 90 in the last 48h bid 0.900 / ask 0.910 9.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.

Price reached near-certainty: 25d ago
Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-20T06:40:04
Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.

What the contract requires

Condition. Pittsburgh wins the Kansas City vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT by more than 1.5 runs (i.e., by 2 or more runs).

Form the evidence must take. Unspecified in the rules; no particular publication, official source, or medium is required. The rules state only: 'If Pittsburgh wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Kansas City vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game...'

Does not count.

A Pittsburgh win by exactly 1 run does not count because it is not more than 1.5 runs.
A Kansas City win or a tie does not count.
A Pittsburgh win by exactly 2 runs does count because 2 is more than 1.5.

Deadline. originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT (game start; no separate settlement deadline specified)

Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs — Pittsburgh's final score exceeds Kansas City's final score by more than 1.5 runs, meaning by at least 2 runs.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Kansas City Royals 6-5 on September 18, 2026

The box score shows Pittsburgh won by 1 run, which is not more than 1.5 runs.

Sources it was read from · 1 cited

UPDATE 2-MLB Pirates vs Royals Box Score ↗

https://thedailyguardian.com/world/update-2-mlb-pirates-vs-royals-box-score-758652 · 2026-09-20

Pirates 6, Royals 5 Royals ab r h rbi bb so avg Jensen C 5 1 1 1 0 3 .233 Witt Jr. SS 5 2 3 0… The post UPDATE 2-MLB Pirates vs Royals Box Score appeared first on The Daily Guardian .

7 retrieved but not cited

AP – Scorecard September 18, 2029 ↗

Here are the latest scores from today’s sports events: ___ INTERLEAGUE Kansas City at Pittsburgh 6:40 p.m. Milwaukee at Baltimore 7:05 p.m. Atlanta at Houston 8:10 p.m. Seattle at Colorado 8:10 p.m. N-Y Yankees at Arizona 9:40 p.m. ___ AMERICAN LEAGUE Athletics at Cleveland 7:10 p.m. Boston at Tampa

MLB: Kansas City Royals at Pittsburgh Pirates ↗

Sep 18, 2026; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates first baseman Spencer Horwitz (2) runs from first base to third base against the Kansas City Royals during the fourth inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Randy Dobnak vs. Paul Skenes ↗

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, September 18, 2026, 6:40 p.m. ET The Pittsburgh Pirates are starting off a three-game set against the Kansas City Royals this weekend inside PNC Park The Royals will hand the ball off to 31-year-old right-hander Randy Dobnak, who is in his first season with

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Noah Cameron vs. Bubba Chandler ↗

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, September 19, 2026, 6:40 p.m. ET The Pittsburgh Pirates in the middle match of a three-game set against the Kansas City Royals this weekend inside PNC Park. The Royals are starting Noah Cameron, who is in his second MLB season with the Royals. The left-hand

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Michael Wacha vs. Lake Bachar ↗

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, September 20, 2026, 1:35 p.m. ET The Pittsburgh Pirates are hosting the Kansas City Royals in the season finale for a three-game set at PNC Park. The Royals are handing the ball off to 14-year veteran Michael Wacha, who became an All-Star for just the second

Royals vs Pirates Prediction September 18: Is Run Line The Best Value? ↗

The Kansas City Royals visit the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday night, and the pitching matchup is doing most… The post Royals vs Pirates Prediction September 18: Is Run Line The Best Value? appeared first on TheSpread.com .

Royals Pirates Baseball ↗

Kansas City Royals pitcher Randy Dobnak delivers during the first inning of a baseball game against the Pittsburgh Pirates in Pittsburgh, Friday, Sept. 18, 2026.

Adjudicated 23d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.