Detroit vs Chicago WS: Spread — Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-21T23:40 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 25d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-19T21:23:51
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Detroit wins the Detroit vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT by more than 1.5 runs (i.e., by at least 2 runs).
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified — the rules do not specify who must publish the result or in what medium; they only state the condition that Detroit wins by more than 1.5 runs in the game.
Does not count.
- Detroit wins by exactly 1 run or fewer
- Detroit loses
- A tie or no-result (if applicable)
Deadline. Sep 18, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT (originally scheduled game start; no separate resolution deadline specified)
- Detroit — The Detroit team in the game (contextually the Detroit Tigers).
- Chicago WS — The Chicago team in the game (contextually the Chicago White Sox).
- wins by more than 1.5 runs — Detroit's final score minus Chicago's final score is at least 2 runs.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Chicago White Sox defeated Detroit Tigers 3-1 in the game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026.
Multiple sources confirm the final score was Chicago 3, Detroit 1, meaning Detroit lost and therefore did not win by more than 1.5 runs.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 24d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.