Milwaukee vs Philadelphia: Total Runs — Over 5.5 runs scored
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-26T22:40 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 20d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-24T05:33:43
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Milwaukee and Philadelphia collectively score more than 5.5 runs in the professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 23, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. Sep 23, 2026 (game date and time; resolution occurs after game completion)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Milwaukee defeated Philadelphia 4-1 on September 23, 2026; combined runs = 5.
The reported final score is 4-1, so the two teams scored exactly 5 total runs, which is not more than 5.5. The over condition therefore cannot be met.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.