New York M vs Texas: Total Runs — Over 4.5 runs scored
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-27T18:35 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-24T21:31:25
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The total runs scored by New York M and Texas in their professional baseball game originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT is greater than 4.5 (i.e., 5 or more runs).
Form the evidence must take. unspecified (the rules do not specify the form; typically official game results from the governing league are used)
Deadline. September 24, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT (the game's scheduled start time; settlement occurs after the game ends)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The final score of the New York Mets vs Texas Rangers game on September 24, 2026 was Texas 3, N.Y. Mets 1, for a total of 4 runs.
Source [4] directly reports the final score as Texas 3, N.Y. Mets 1, totaling 4 runs, which is not greater than 4.5. The game is over, so the condition cannot be met.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.