Atlanta vs San Antonio
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-11T00:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 5d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-09T03:10:39
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. San Antonio wins the Atlanta vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026.
Form the evidence must take. The rules do not explicitly specify the evidence form for the primary condition, but for postponed games they require 'the official final result'. Therefore, the evidence is likely the official result from the governing league.
Does not count.
- Game is cancelled
- Game is not started within 48 hours of originally scheduled start time
- Game is postponed and starts after 48 hours (resolves to fair price)
Deadline. The game is originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. If postponed, the market remains open until the game starts within 48 hours of the original start time. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Therefore, the deadline for a Yes/No resolution is the conclusion of the game if it starts within 48 hours, otherwise the market resolves at the 48-hour mark.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The Atlanta Hawks defeated the San Antonio Spurs 123-116 in a preseason game on October 8, 2026.
Multiple credible sources confirm that the game was played on October 8, 2026, and that the Atlanta Hawks won, meaning San Antonio did not win. The condition is therefore already impossible to satisfy.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 3d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.