polyrag

← Decided

Memphis vs Atlanta: Total Points — Over 252.5 points

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-07T23:00 · claim page

already yes high confidence buy YES price moved 14 → 90 in the last 48h bid 0.900 / ask 0.910 9.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.

What the contract requires

Condition. The market resolves to Yes only if over 252.5 total points are scored in the Memphis vs Atlanta Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, based on the official final result, and only if the game begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time.

Form the evidence must take. Resolution is based on the official final result of the game, as the rules state: "resolve based on the official final result." No specific publication, website, or league is named; an official final score is required, not a news estimate or unofficial score.

Does not count.

Deadline. Originally scheduled Oct 5, 2026; if postponed, the game must begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, and the market remains open until the official final result. If cancelled or not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

Memphis Grizzlies 132, Atlanta Hawks 123 on Oct 5, 2026 (total 255 points)

The box score from DailyMemphian shows the official final score of 132-123, totaling 255 points, which is over 252.5. The game started on Oct 5, within 48 hours of the scheduled start. No authority is named, but the source directly provides the official final result.

Sources it was read from · 1 cited

Box score: Grizzlies 132, Hawks 123 ↗
https://dailymemphian.com/article/67336 · 2026-10-06
This is the box score for the basketball game played between the Memphis Grizzlies and the Atlanta Hawks on Oct. 5, 2026.
7 retrieved but not cited
A new season without Ja Morant: Hawks vs Grizzlies prediction ↗
​​The Atlanta Hawks and Memphis Grizzlies will meet in the early hours of Tuesday, October 6, in an NBA preseason matchup. The game will be held at State
Three Bold Atlanta Hawks Predictions For Tonight's Preseason Game vs Memphis ↗
The Atlanta Hawks begin their preseason action tonight at home against the Memphis Grizzlies. When we last saw the Hawks, they were getting blown off their hom
New-look Grizzlies, Cam Boozer make strong preseason impression vs Hawks ↗
The Memphis Grizzlies put together a strong preseason-opening performance in a win against the Atlanta Hawks.
Grading Every Hawks Player In Preseason Loss vs Grizzlies ↗
The Atlanta Hawks did not start the preseason the way they wanted to and fell to the Memphis Grizzlies last night, largely due to a second quarter in which they
Liberty Dream Basketball ↗
Atlanta Dream forwards DeWanna Bonner (24) and Angel Reese (5) react during the second half of Game 1 of the WNBA basketball semifinals against the New York Liberty, Sunday, Oct. 4, 2026, in Atlanta.

Adjudicated 6d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.