Texas St. vs San Diego St.
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T02:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 9d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-04T06:27:36
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. YES if the official final result of the Texas St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 shows San Diego St. as the winner, provided the game begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time; if it is postponed but begins within 48 hours, the market resolves based on the official final result.
Named authority. official final result of the game (no specific source named)
Form the evidence must take. The rules require an 'official final result' of the game, without naming a specific publisher or medium. The game must begin 'within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time'; if it does, the market resolves based on the official final result. A game cancelled or not started within that 48-hour window does not produce a Yes/No result and instead resolves to a fair price.
Does not count.
- A postponed game that begins within 48 hours is not disqualified; it still resolves based on the official final result
- A game cancelled or not started within 48 hours does not resolve Yes, but resolves to a fair price
- Unofficial scores, news reports, or estimates are not enough if they conflict with the official final result
Deadline. Game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026; if not started within 48 hours of that originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price.
- San Diego St. wins — the official final result shows San Diego St. as the winning team
- originally scheduled start time — the time at which the Texas St. vs San Diego St. game was originally scheduled to begin on Oct 3, 2026
- begins within 48 hours — the game starts no later than 48 hours after its originally scheduled start time
- cancelled or not started within 48 hours — the game is cancelled, or fails to begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, causing resolution to a fair price rather than Yes/No
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
San Diego State defeated Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, as reported by multiple news outlets.
Multiple credible news sources report that San Diego State beat Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, and the game began on its scheduled date, well within the 48-hour window.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.