Texas St. vs San Diego St.
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T02:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 10d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-04T06:27:36
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Texas St. wins the Texas St. vs San Diego St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, based on the official final result, if the game begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time.
Form the evidence must take. Official final result of the game. The rules state that if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will 'resolve based on the official final result.' No specific publication, website, or agency is named as the required medium.
Does not count.
- Texas St. loses the game.
- The game is cancelled.
- The game does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time.
- The game starts more than 48 hours after its originally scheduled start time, even if Texas St. later wins.
- Any result not contained in the official final result, such as news reports, scores from unofficial sources, or forecasts.
Deadline. Game must begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time on Oct 3, 2026; if cancelled or not started within that 48-hour window, the market does not resolve Yes/No but resolves to a fair price.
- Texas St. — Texas State University football team.
- San Diego St. — San Diego State University football team.
- wins — Determined by the official final result of the game.
- postponed — Not explicitly defined, but addressed as a delay in which the game begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time.
- fair price — The market resolution amount determined by Kalshi if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
San Diego State defeated Texas State 31-29 on October 3, 2026, as reported by multiple news sources.
The game was played on October 3, 2026, within 48 hours of its scheduled start, and the official final result shows San Diego State won 31-29, so Texas State did not win.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.