Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-21T19:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 24d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-19T23:09:33
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Miami (OH) wins the college football game against Cincinnati originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, as shown by the official final result.
Form the evidence must take. The official final result of the game. The rules say the market will 'resolve based on the official final result' if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours; for a non-postponed game, the winner must be the official final result. No specific publication or website is named, but a news estimate or unofficial score is not sufficient.
Does not count.
- A Miami (OH) win that is not reflected in the official final result
- A game that is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time
- A postponed game that begins more than 48 hours after the originally scheduled start time
Deadline. Originally scheduled start on Sep 19, 2026; if postponed, the game must begin within 48 hours of that originally scheduled start time; if not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
- originally scheduled start time — The start time of the game as originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026; the exact time is not stated in the rules.
- official final result — The final result that determines the winner for market resolution; no specific source is named.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Cincinnati defeated Miami (OH) 35-31 on September 19, 2026, as reported by multiple news outlets.
Multiple sources report that Cincinnati won the game 35-31, so Miami (OH) did not win the originally scheduled game. The evidence is consistent and from game-day reports, establishing the official final result.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 22d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.