polyrag

← Decided

Florida A&M vs Alabama St.: Spread — Alabama St. wins by over 6.5 points

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-12T20:00 · claim page

already no high confidence buy NO price moved 90 → 5 in the last 48h bid 0.050 / ask 0.080 5.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.

What the contract requires

Condition. The market resolves Yes if Alabama St. wins by more than 6.5 points in the Florida A&M vs Alabama St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, as determined by the official final result.

Form the evidence must take. Official final result of the game. The rules state the market will 'resolve based on the official final result' if the game begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time; no specific publication or source is named beyond 'official final result.'

Does not count.

Deadline. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open until the official final result. If the game has not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

Florida A&M defeated Alabama St. 28-27 on Oct 9, 2026, as reported by Sports Illustrated.

The reported final score shows Alabama St. lost, so they did not win by more than 6.5 points.

Sources it was read from · 1 cited

Florida A&M Spoils Alabama State's Homecoming With Fourth-Quarter Rally, 28-27 ↗
https://si.com/college/hbcu/football/florida-am-spoils-alabama-state-homecoming · 2026-10-09
Florida A&M spoils Alabama State's homecoming 28-27 behind two long Parker-to-Burris touchdowns and a blocked field goal on the final play.
6 retrieved but not cited
Isaias Forces Alabama State to Move Homecoming Game vs. Florida A&M ↗
MONTGOMERY, Ala -- Alabama State University has moved its Homecoming football game against Florida A&M up by one day because Hurricane Isaias is expected to aff
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Florida A&M-Alabama State homecoming game moved due to Tropical Storm Isaias ↗
Tropical Storm Isaias Is causing the date of an HBCU homecoming game to be moved due to the threat. The Alabama State homecoming matchup against Florida A&M is now set to be held on Friday at 11:05 am, after originally being slated to kick off on October 10 at 3 pm. Due to the change, […] The post F
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College Swimming League Match 2 Box Score ↗
By Andrew Mering on SwimSwam The College Swimming League match 2 box score. Virginia beat NC State, Georgia, and Alabama. Here's the stats on how that happened. Read the full story on SwimSwam : College Swimming League Match 2 Box Score
Florida Upset by Missouri, Final Box Score Player Stats, Highlights and Updated SEC Standings ↗
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Adjudicated 4d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.