Louisville vs Ole Miss: Spread — Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-08T23:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.
- Price reached near-certainty: not recorded — we hold no price history for this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Ole Miss wins by more than 6.5 points in the Louisville vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, based on the official final result.
Form the evidence must take. The rules require the game's 'official final result'; no specific publisher or medium is named. Kalshi will resolve based on that official final result. If postponed, the game must begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time and the market resolves on the official final result.
Does not count.
- Ole Miss wins by exactly 6.5 points or fewer
- Ole Miss loses the game
- Game is not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time (resolves to fair price instead of Yes)
- Game result is unofficial or not the official final result
Deadline. Originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026; if postponed, the game must begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, otherwise the market resolves to a fair price.
- more than 6.5 points — Ole Miss's winning margin must exceed 6.5 points (i.e., 7 or more points).
- postponed but begins within 48 hours — If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves on the official final result.
- not started within 48 hours — If the game does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price.
- fair price — Not defined in the rules.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Ole Miss defeated Louisville 41-38 on September 6, 2026.
All available sources report a final score of Ole Miss 41, Louisville 38, meaning Ole Miss won by 3 points, which is less than the required 6.5-point margin.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.