Alabama vs Kentucky: Spread — Alabama wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-14T19:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 31d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-14T17:34:52
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Alabama wins by more than 14.5 points in the Alabama vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026.
Form the evidence must take. The official final result of the game, as determined by the governing body (e.g., NCAA). The rule states: 'resolves based on the official final result'.
Does not count.
- Alabama wins by exactly 14.5 points or less
- Kentucky wins or ties
Deadline. Game end on Sep 12, 2026, or if postponed, within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time.
- over 14.5 points — Alabama's margin of victory is greater than 14.5 points (i.e., Alabama's score minus Kentucky's score > 14.5).
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Alabama defeated Kentucky on Sep 12, 2026, with a margin greater than 14.5 points (reported scores 45-17 and 45-13 give margins of 28 and 32 respectively)
Multiple credible sources confirm Alabama won by more than 14.5 points, satisfying the condition.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 29d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.