← Decided
Houston vs Texas Tech: Spread — Texas Tech wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-09-21T00:00
already no
high confidence
buy NO
price moved
87 → 5
in the last 48h
bid 0.050 / ask 0.060
5.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
Unknown.
we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.
- Price reached near-certainty:
not recorded — we hold no price history for
this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-19T03:41:51
- Price as shown:
not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Texas Tech wins the Houston vs Texas Tech college football game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 by more than 2.5 points (i.e., by at least 3 points) according to the official final result.
Form the evidence must take. The official final result of the game. The rules state that if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours, the market will 'resolve based on the official final result.' No other source or medium is specified for the normal case.
Does not count.
- Texas Tech wins by 2 points or fewer
- Houston wins or the game is a tie
- Game is not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time (resolves to fair price, not Yes)
Deadline. Game must begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time on Sep 18, 2026; if not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
- wins by more than 2.5 points — Texas Tech's final score minus Houston's final score is greater than 2.5; since football scores are integers, this means a margin of at least 3 points.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Texas Tech defeated Houston 28-26 on September 18, 2026.
Texas Tech won by 2 points (28-26), which is not greater than 2.5 points; the condition requires a margin of at least 3 points.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
No. 13 Texas Tech stops No. 22 Houston’s 2-point try to escape ↗
https://thebig1050.com/2026/09/18/no-13-texas-tech-stops-no-22-houstons-2-point-try-to-escape · 2026-09-19
Will Hammond passed for 257 yards and one touchdown and No. 13 Texas Tech stymied a last-minute two-point conversion to notch a 28-26 victory over No....
No. 13 Texas Tech stops a late 2 and beats No. 22 Houston 28-26 in Big 12 opener ↗
https://click2houston.com/sports/2026/09/19/no-13-texas-tech-holds-on-for-28-26-win-over-no-22-houston-in-big-12-opener · 2026-09-19
J’Koby Williams and Cameron Dickey ran for second-half touchdowns and defending Big 12 champion No. 13 Texas Tech held on for a 28-26 win when Houston quarterback Conner Weigman came up just short of a 2-point conversion in the final minute.
No. 13 Texas Tech holds on for 28-26 win over No. 22 Houston in Big 12 opener ↗
https://medicinehatnews.com/sports/national-sports/2026/09/18/no-13-texas-tech-holds-on-for-28-26-win-over-no-22-houston-in-big-12-opener · 2026-09-19
LUBBOCK, Texas (AP) — J’Koby Williams and Cameron Dickey ran for second-half touchdowns and defending Big 12 champion No. 13 Texas Tech held on for a 28-26 on Friday night when Houston quarterback Conner Weigman came up just short of a 2-point conversion in the final minute. Weigman’s third TD pass, a 10-yarder to Patrick The post No. 13 Texas Tech holds on for 28-26 win over No. 22 Houston in Big 12 opener appeared first on Medicine Hat News .
5 retrieved but not cited
Final Whistle Feeling: Texas Tech takes steps forward in win over Houston ↗
Texas Tech started off its Big 12 slate 1-0 with a win over Houston Friday night. We provided live updates all game, but here’s my scattershot final thoughts from the game as I saw it. Leftwich’s Texas Tech offense takes big step forward For starters, what a headscratching decision for Thomas Castel
Texas Tech hosts Houston in ranked Big 12 matchup ↗
No. 22 Houston (2-0) at No. 13 Texas Tech (2-0), Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. EDT. Opening Line: Texas Tech by 9.5. Against the spread: Texas Tech 0-2, Houston 1-1. How to watch: FOX Key stats Texas Tech Offense Overall: 411.5 yards per game (73rd in FBS) Passing: 247.5 yards per game (59th) Rushing: 164.0...
Adjudicated 25d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.