Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest: Spread — Miami (FL) wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-20T23:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 25d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-19T19:00:01
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Miami (FL) wins by more than 14.5 points in the college football game against Wake Forest originally scheduled for September 18, 2026
Named authority. unspecified
Form the evidence must take. unspecified in rules; market relies on official final result if game starts within 48 hours of original start time, otherwise resolves to fair price
Does not count.
- Miami (FL) wins by exactly 14.5 points
- Miami (FL) loses or wins by less than 14.5 points
- Game is not started within 48 hours of original start time (resolves to fair price instead of Yes)
Deadline. originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026, with possible postponement up to 48 hours after that start time
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Miami (FL) defeated Wake Forest 33-20 on September 18, 2026, a margin of 13 points.
Multiple credible sources report the final score as Miami 33, Wake Forest 20, giving a margin of 13 points, which is less than the required 14.5 points.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 24d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.