Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville St.: Spread — Jacksonville St. wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-21T23:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 24d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-20T02:36:57
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Jacksonville St. wins the Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, by more than 3.5 points (i.e., by 4 or more points), based on the official final result.
Form the evidence must take. The official final result of the game, as used to determine the winner and margin of victory. The rules require resolution based on the 'official final result' if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time.
Does not count.
- Jacksonville St. wins by exactly 3 points or fewer
- Georgia Southern wins or the game is tied
- Game not started within 48 hours of originally scheduled start time (resolves to fair price instead)
Deadline. Game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026; if postponed, it must begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, otherwise the market resolves to a fair price.
- wins by more than 3.5 points — Jacksonville St.'s final score exceeds Georgia Southern's final score by at least 4 points.
- postponed — The game does not start at its originally scheduled start time but is rescheduled to begin later.
- fair price — Resolution outcome if the game is not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time; not a Yes/No result.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Jacksonville State defeated Georgia Southern 31-27 on September 19, 2026, a margin of 4 points.
Multiple credible news sources report that Jacksonville State won 31-27, which is a 4-point margin, satisfying the condition of winning by more than 3.5 points. The game was played on its scheduled date, so the 48-hour start window is not an issue.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 22d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.