Northwestern vs Indiana: Spread — Indiana wins by over 7.5 points

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-28T00:00 · claim page

already no high confidence buy NO price moved 90 → 7 in the last 48h bid 0.070 / ask 0.080 7.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.

Price reached near-certainty: 18d ago
Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-26T03:38:08
Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.

What the contract requires

Condition. Indiana wins by more than 7.5 points in the Northwestern vs Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026.

Form the evidence must take. The official final result of the game. The rules do not specify a particular source or medium beyond 'official final result'.

Does not count.

If the game is not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price (not Yes/No).

Deadline. Game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026, with a 48-hour postponement window; if not started within 48 hours, market resolves to fair price.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

Indiana defeated Northwestern 29-23 on September 25, 2026, a margin of 6 points.

The condition requires Indiana to win by more than 7.5 points, but the reported final score of 29-23 means Indiana won by only 6 points, so the condition is already impossible to satisfy.

Sources it was read from · 4 cited

Highlights: Indiana 29 - Northwestern 23 - 9/25/26 ↗

https://wgnradio.com/northwestern/northwestern-football/highlights-indiana-29-northwestern-23-9-25-26 · 2026-09-26

Northwestern Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers - September 25, 2026 Box score | Recap Video highlights

IU football: Three quick reasons the Hoosiers beat Northwestern, highlights, stats ↗

https://thedailyhoosier.com/iu-football-three-quick-reasons-the-hoosiers-beat-northwestern-highlights-stats · 2026-09-26

BLOOMINGTON, Ind. — Indiana beat Northwestern by a final score of 29-23 on Saturday night at Memorial Stadium. Below are three quick reasons why the Hoosiers won, along with highlights and final stats. Indiana (4-0, 1-0 Big Ten) hits the road for the first time this season next week at Rutgers. —————————————————— Three quick reasons [...]

Curt Cignetti drops insane "Pearl Harbor" line after Indiana squeaks by Northwestern ↗

https://nytimespost.com/curt-cignetti-drops-insane-pearl-harbor-line-after-indiana-squeaks-by-northwestern · 2026-09-26

Defending champion Indiana survived a scare Friday night against Northwestern, eking out a 29-23 win in the 2026 Big Ten opener. The Hoosiers were nearly three touchdown favorites most of the week, but that never came close to hitting. In fact, for most of the first quarter, Indiana led Northwestern by a robust score of [...]

IU football passes its first real test of 2026 season with a win over Northwestern ↗

https://insidethehall.com/2026/09/26/iu-football-passes-its-first-real-test-of-2026-season-with-a-win-over-northwestern · 2026-09-26

Throughout Indiana’s 29-23 win against Northwestern on Friday, a growing sense of angst was palpable inside Merchants Bank Field at Memorial Stadium. Indiana did not look like its usual self. Penalties, missed throws and defensive failures piled up. Missed opportunities ... The post IU football passes its first real test of 2026 season with a win over Northwestern appeared first on Inside the Hall | Indiana Hoosiers Basketball News, Recruiting and Analysis .

3 retrieved but not cited

Northwestern Indiana Football ↗

Indiana wide receiver Charlie Becker (80) dives for a pass just out of his reach in the end zone during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Northwestern, Friday, Sept. 25, 2026, in Bloomington, Ind.

Lee Beebe Jr. rushes for 203 yards and No. 4 Indiana holds off surprising Northwestern 29-23 ↗

Northwestern quarterback Aidan Chiles (0) hands off to running back Caleb Komolafe (5) during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Friday, Sept. 25, 2026, in Bloomington, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)

Le 28 Septembre 2026 ↗

Adjudicated 16d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.