Ole Miss vs Florida: Spread — Florida wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-28T19:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 17d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-26T23:37:06
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The Ole Miss vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 is started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, and the official final result shows Florida winning by more than 16.5 points over Ole Miss.
Named authority. Official final result of the game (as referenced in the rules)
Form the evidence must take. Official final result of the football game; the rules state that if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours, the market will 'resolve based on the official final result.' No specific publisher or medium is named.
Does not count.
- Florida wins by 16.5 points or fewer
- Ole Miss wins or the game is a tie
- Game is postponed and does not begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time (resolves to fair price, not Yes)
Deadline. Game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026; if postponed, it must begin within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, otherwise the market resolves to a fair price.
- Florida wins by more than 16.5 points — Florida's final score exceeds Ole Miss's final score by at least 17 points (margin > 16.5).
- fair price — If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price rather than Yes or No.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Florida defeated Ole Miss 52-28 on September 26, 2026, a margin of 24 points, which exceeds 16.5.
Multiple independent sources confirm that the game was played as scheduled on September 26, 2026, and that Florida won 52-28, a margin of 24 points, which is greater than 16.5. No postponement or alternative result is indicated.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 15d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.