polyrag

← Decided

Rice vs Fresno St.: Spread — Fresno St. wins by over 12.5 points

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-29T02:00 · claim page

already yes high confidence buy YES price moved 8 → 90 in the last 48h bid 0.900 / ask 0.910 9.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.

What the contract requires

Condition. Fresno St. wins the Rice vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 by more than 12.5 points (i.e., by 13 or more points), based on the official final result if the game begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time.

Form the evidence must take. Official final result of the game. The rules state that if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will 'resolve based on the official final result.' No specific publisher or medium is named for the official final result.

Does not count.

Deadline. Originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026; if postponed, the game must begin within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, otherwise the market resolves to a fair price.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

Fresno State defeated Rice 38-24 on September 26/27, 2026, a margin of 14 points.

The reported final score is Fresno State 38, Rice 24, a 14-point Fresno State win, which exceeds the required 12.5-point spread. The game was played as scheduled on Saturday night, so the 48-hour start condition is satisfied.

Sources it was read from · 6 cited

Game recap: Fresno State beats Rice 38-24 in its final nonconference game of the season ↗
https://fscollegian.com/2026/09/live-updates-fresno-state-hosts-rice-in-its-final-nonconference-game-of-the-season · 2026-09-27
Fresno State football is set to face the Rice University Owls at Valley Children’s Stadium. The ‘Dogs enter Week 4 at 2-1 after beating San Jose State for the Valley Trophy, 26-10, in Week 3. The Owls enter this week with a 1-2 record, coming off their first win of the season against Houston Christian...
Jayden Mandal, Rayshon Luke lead Fresno State to 38-24 victory over Rice ↗
https://winnipegfreepress.com/uncategorized/2026/09/27/jayden-mandal-rayshon-luke-lead-fresno-state-to-38-24-victory-over-rice · 2026-09-27
GREG VACEK'S WEB ROUNDUPSunday, September 27, 2026 ↗
https://bonesville.net/2026/09/27/sunday-september-27-2026 · 2026-09-27
ECU Defeats N.C. Central On Saturday, 42-9… Rice Falls To Fresno State, 38-24… NC State hold off App State comeback to earn home victory Pirate Press: ECU Headlines Williams delivers in passing game as Pirates pull away ECU Defeats N.C. Central On Saturday, 42-9 ecupirates.com East Carolina scores 6 TDs in first half to cruise… [ More... ]
Jayden Mandal, Rayshon Luke lead Fresno State to 38-24 victory over Rice ↗
https://therecord.com/sports/football/jayden-mandal-rayshon-luke-lead-fresno-state-to-38-24-victory-over-rice/article_57c41d3a-d82c-5dde-a727-6985730615fe.html · 2026-09-27
FRESNO, Calif. (AP) — Jayden Mandal threw three touchdown passes and Rayshon Luke rushed for 167 yards and a score to lead Fresno State to a 38-24 victory over Rice on Saturday night.
Fresno State closes nonconference play with 38-24 win over Rice ↗
https://fscollegian.com/2026/09/fresno-state-closes-nonconference-play-with-38-24-win-over-rice · 2026-09-27
The Fresno State Bulldogs came out on top against the Rice University Owls, defeating them 38-24 and improving to 3-1 on the season heading into conference play. The Bulldogs’ offense’s ground attack produced all night long, rushing for 251 yards and one touchdown. Rayshon Luke was responsible for most of the damage, totaling 11 carries...
Bulldog Stock Market: Who’s rising and falling after Rice University? ↗
https://fscollegian.com/2026/09/bulldog-stock-market-whos-rising-and-falling-after-rice-university · 2026-09-27
After a slow start against the Rice Owls, the Fresno State Bulldogs took full control of Saturday night’s matchup at Valley Children’s Stadium. The Bulldogs successfully beat the Owls with a 38-24 lead and have now officially moved to a 3-1 overall record on the season. Fresno State entered the night looking to build on...
2 retrieved but not cited
Quarterback Mandal shows toughness, next-play mentality as Fresno State wins third straight game ↗
An announced crowd of 39,001 showed up for Fresno State’s nonconference matchup against Rice.
Michigan State vs Nebraska final betting odds and a score prediction ↗
Saturday’s Michigan State vs Nebraska game figures to go down to the wire, but what will the final score look like?

Adjudicated 15d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.