Rice vs Fresno St.: Spread — Fresno St. wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-29T02:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 16d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-27T01:24:55
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if Fresno St. wins by more than 13.5 points (i.e., by at least 14 points) in the Rice vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, based on the official final result.
Form the evidence must take. The official final result of the game, as reflected in the final score; for a postponed game that begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the rules say the market 'will remain open and resolve based on the official final result.' No particular publisher or medium is specified beyond the official final result.
Does not count.
- Fresno St. wins by 13.5 points or fewer
- Fresno St. loses or ties
- Game is postponed and starts more than 48 hours after the originally scheduled start time
- Game is not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time (resolves to fair price, not Yes/No)
Deadline. Game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026; if postponed, it must begin within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time or the market resolves to a fair price.
- wins by more than 13.5 points — Fresno St.'s final margin of victory is greater than 13.5 points, meaning at least 14 points.
- postponed but begins within 48 hours — If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves on the official final result.
- not started within 48 hours — If the game has not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to a fair price.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Fresno State defeated Rice 38-24 on September 26, 2026, a margin of 14 points.
Multiple credible news sources report that Fresno State won 38-24 on Sep 26, 2026; a 14-point margin exceeds the 13.5-point spread required.
Sources it was read from · 4 cited
4 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 15d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.