CHI Bears vs GB Packers: Spread — Green Bay wins by over 23.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-13T17:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 2d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-11T20:49:41
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if Green Bay wins by more than 23.5 points in the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026.
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified. The rules do not specify a required medium or publisher; the condition is stated simply as 'Green Bay wins by more than 23.5 points' in the named game.
Does not count.
- Green Bay wins by exactly 23.5 points or fewer
- Chicago wins
- The game ends in a tie
Deadline. 2026-10-11 (game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026)
- Green Bay wins by more than 23.5 points — The final margin of victory for Green Bay must be greater than 23.5 points, meaning a margin of at least 24 points.
- Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 — The specific NFL game scheduled between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers on that date.
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If Green Bay wins by more than 23.5 points in the Chicago vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
What the sources establish
Green Bay Packers defeated Chicago Bears 31-7 on October 11, 2026, a margin of 24 points.
The final score was Green Bay 31, Chicago 7, so Green Bay won by exactly 24 points, which is greater than 23.5. The game occurred on the scheduled date of October 11, 2026.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 11h ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.