LV Raiders vs NE Patriots: Spread — NE Patriots wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-13T17:00
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 2d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The NE Patriots win the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, by a margin of more than 16.5 points.
Named authority. Governing League (referenced but not named)
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified. The rules do not specify a required medium or publisher for the game result; the condition is simply that the NE Patriots win by more than 16.5 points in the named game.
Does not count.
- NE Patriots win by exactly 16.5 points or fewer
- LV Raiders win or the game is a tie
- Any game other than the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026
Deadline. The game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026
- NE Patriots wins by more than 16.5 points — The NE Patriots' final score exceeds the LV Raiders' final score by at least 17 points (i.e., a margin greater than 16.5).
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If NE Patriots wins by more than 16.5 points in the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
What the sources establish
Patriots 45, Raiders 17 on Oct 11, 2026; margin 28 points (>16.5)
Source [10] reports the final score of the game as Patriots 45, Raiders 17, a margin of 28 points, which exceeds the required 16.5 points. No specific authority is mandated by the contract.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 2d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.