LV Raiders vs NE Patriots: Spread — NE Patriots wins by over 20.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-13T17:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 2d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-11T20:35:02
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. NE Patriots win by more than 20.5 points in the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. The game must be played; no explicit deadline beyond the occurrence of the game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026.
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If NE Patriots wins by more than 20.5 points in the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
What the sources establish
New England Patriots defeated Las Vegas Raiders 45-17 on October 11, 2026, a margin of 28 points.
Multiple sources confirm the final score of Patriots 45, Raiders 17, which is a 28-point margin, exceeding the required 20.5 points.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 11h ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.