← Decided
Jacksonville vs Denver: Spread — Denver wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-09-22T20:05 · claim page
already yes
high confidence
buy YES
price moved
4 → 92
in the last 48h
bid 0.920 / ask 0.930
7.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence.
the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty:
23d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-20T23:53:32
- Price as shown:
not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Denver wins by more than 4.5 points in the Jacksonville vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. The game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 (resolution occurs after the game ends)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Denver Broncos defeated Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13 on September 20, 2026, a margin of 7 points which is more than 4.5 points.
Multiple credible sources (PFF, AP, etc.) report the final score as 20-13, giving Denver a 7-point win, which exceeds the 4.5-point spread.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
Broncos Rally Past Jaguars 20-13 as Waddle, Coleman Spark Second Half Comeback ↗
https://sfl.media/broncos-rally-past-jaguars-20-13-as-waddle-coleman-spark-second-half-comeback · 2026-09-22
Denver Overcomes Early Deficit The Denver Broncos erased a 13-3 deficit with a 17-point second-half surge Sunday, defeating the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13 and snapping Jacksonville’s nine-game regular-season winning streak. Denver improved to 1-1 after another comeback victory, while the Jaguars also fell to 1-1. The Broncos had 11 one-score wins and 12 comebacks last season, […] The post Broncos Rally Past Jaguars 20-13 as Waddle, Coleman Spark Second Half Comeback appeared first on South Florida Media .
Jaylen Waddle’s quiet Denver debut flips into a 138-yard day in a Broncos’ 20-13 comeback over Jags ↗
https://durangoherald.com/articles/ap-sports/jaylen-waddles-quiet-denver-debut-flips-into-a-138-yard-day-in-a-broncos-20-13-comeback-over-jags · 2026-09-21
Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix passes against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the first half of an NFL football game in Denver, Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski) DENVER (AP) — Same winning formula. New faces doing the heavy lifting. The Denver Broncos closed their game on a 17-point blitz Sunday for a 20-13 win […]
5 retrieved but not cited
Jaguars Broncos Football ↗
Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton responds to a question during a news conference after an NFL football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026, in Denver.
Adjudicated 21d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.