Jacksonville vs Denver: Spread — Denver wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-22T20:05 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 23d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-20T23:53:32
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Denver wins by more than 6.5 points in the Jacksonville vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. Sep 20, 2026 (the game date; resolution occurs after the game ends)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Denver Broncos defeated Jacksonville Jaguars 20-13 on September 20, 2026, a margin of 7 points, which exceeds 6.5 points.
Multiple reliable sources (PFF, AP via Durango Herald, ABC News) report the final score as Denver 20, Jacksonville 13, a 7-point win that satisfies the condition of Denver winning by more than 6.5 points. No special evidence form or authority is required by the contract.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 21d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.