ATL Falcons vs GB Packers: Spread — ATL Falcons wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-27T00:15 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-25T03:17:43
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. ATL Falcons wins the ATL Falcons vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 by more than 4.5 points (i.e., by 5 or more points).
Named authority. Governing League (unnamed in rules, but the relevant Pro Football league for ATL Falcons vs GB Packers)
Form the evidence must take. The official final score of the game as recorded by the governing league or official scorekeeper; the rules do not specify a particular publication or medium, but the result must be the official game score.
Does not count.
- ATL Falcons winning by exactly 4 points or fewer
- GB Packers winning
- A tie (if applicable in the official scoring context)
Deadline. 2026-09-24 (game date; settlement occurs after the game is officially final)
- ATL Falcons wins by more than 4.5 points — The final margin of victory for ATL Falcons must be at least 5 points.
- originally scheduled for Sep 24, 2026 — The game is identified by its originally scheduled date; postponement or rescheduling does not change the identity of the game unless otherwise specified.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Atlanta Falcons defeated Green Bay Packers 35-14 on September 24, 2026, a margin of 21 points.
The final score of 35-14 gives the Falcons a 21-point victory, which exceeds the required 4.5-point spread. The game occurred on the scheduled date and the evidence is from reputable sources reporting the official result.
Sources it was read from · 4 cited
4 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 17d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.