LV Raiders vs NO Saints: Spread — LV Raiders wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-29T20:25 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 16d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-28T01:19:05
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the LV Raiders win the LV Raiders vs NO Saints Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 by more than 7.5 points.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified — the rules do not name a required source, publication, or medium for the score; the final game score must establish the margin of victory.
Does not count.
- A LV Raiders win by 7.5 points or fewer does not resolve Yes
- A LV Raiders loss or tie does not resolve Yes
Deadline. 2026-09-27 (the game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Las Vegas Raiders defeated New Orleans Saints 35-27 on September 27, 2026, a margin of 8 points.
The final score reported by multiple sources gives the Raiders a win by 8 points, which exceeds the required 7.5-point margin.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 14d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.