Seattle vs Edmonton: Spread — Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-05T23:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 10d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-04T05:02:44
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Edmonton wins the Seattle vs Edmonton NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 by a margin of over 1.5 goals (i.e., by 2 or more goals), based on the official final result.
Named authority. Official final result of the game
Form the evidence must take. The official final result of the game, as would be used to determine the winner and margin. The rules state that if the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours, resolution is 'based on the official final result.' No particular publication or agency is named beyond the official final result.
Does not count.
- Edmonton winning by exactly 1 goal or less
- Edmonton losing or tying
- A result determined after a postponement that begins more than 48 hours after the originally scheduled start time
- A cancelled game or a game that is not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time
Deadline. Original scheduled start time on Oct 3, 2026 plus 48 hours; if the game has not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
- over 1.5 goals — Edmonton's winning margin must be greater than 1.5 goals, meaning a margin of at least 2 goals.
- game — Seattle vs Edmonton NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026.
- postponed — A game that does not start at its originally scheduled start time but begins within 48 hours of that time, in which case the market remains open.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Edmonton Oilers defeated Seattle Kraken 3-1 on October 3, 2026, a margin of 2 goals.
Multiple sources confirm Edmonton won 3-1, a margin of 2 goals (over 1.5), and the game was played as scheduled within the deadline.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.