OpenAI market share this week — Above 18.1%
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-12T14:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.
- Price reached near-certainty: not recorded — we hold no price history for this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
No criteria were extracted for this contract.
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If OpenAI scores above 18.1% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Oct 5, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
What the sources establish
unparseable adjudication
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Sources it was read from
6 retrieved but not cited
Z.ai Ox Alpha Model’s Secret Run Breaks OpenRouter Records ↗
Z.ai’s Ox Alpha model, the anonymously tested version of GLM-5.3-Flash, processed approximately 23 trillion tokens over six days on OpenRouter before its Beijing-based creator confirmed its identity last week, making it the biggest model launch in OpenRouter’s history at roughly 2.3 times the volume
Nigerian Stocks Slip 0.06% as Market Value Falls by ₦91.16bn ↗
Nigerian stocks fell 0.06% on October 5, taking the All-Share Index to 250,667.86 points. Listed equities lost ₦91.16 billion in market value. Originally published on Okay News: https://www.okaynews.com/nigerian-stocks-slip-market-value-october-5-2026/
AgiBot Statistics 2026: Shipments, Production Rate, Revenue and the Market-Share Numbers Analysts Can’t Agree On ↗
AgiBot Statistics 2026 By Axis Intelligence Research Co-author: Liam Michael (Robotics) | Last updated: October 6, 2026 | License: CC BY 4.0 AgiBot produced its 20,000th robot by September 24, 2026, and three analyst firms rank it the world’s top humanoid...
News & Products for the week of October 5th 2026 ↗
News & Products for the week of October 5th 2026 Model railroad operators and builders can get the latest information about locomotives, freight cars, passenger cars, tools, track, and more by reading Model Railroader’s frequent product updates. The following are the products Model Railroader editor
Dollar to Naira exchange rate today, October 5, 2026 ↗
The Nigerian Naira maintained a stable posture across both the official Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) and the parallel market as trading commenced for the week.The post Dollar to Naira exchange rate today, October 5, 2026 appeared first on Vanguard News.
OpenRouter: the share of business spending between OpenAI and Anthropic models was roughly even in September, vs. Anthropic commanding a 75% share in January (Angel Au-Yeung/Wall Street Journal) ↗
Angel Au-Yeung / Wall Street Journal : OpenRouter: the share of business spending between OpenAI and Anthropic models was roughly even in September, vs. Anthropic commanding a 75% share in January — Both companies need to show Wall Street they have sustainable businesses ahead of planned IPOs — Anth
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.