Bass Persuades: First Week Pure Album Sales — Above 40K
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-27T14:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 20d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-22T11:54:46
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Luminate reports that 'Bass Persuades' by Miley Cyrus had Pure Album Sales (Product Sales) above 40,000 during the September 18–24, 2026 tracking week, as shown in its API at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following that week.
Named authority. Luminate Data, LLC (via its API)
Form the evidence must take. The value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week. The rules state: 'resolve based on the value reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the September 18, 2026 - September 24, 2026 tracking week.'
Deadline. 10:00 AM ET on Sunday, September 27, 2026 (the Sunday after the tracking week ends)
- Pure Album Sales — aka Product Sales (as specified in the rules)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Miley Cyrus released the album 'Bass Persuades' on September 18, 2026; one source projects a first-week total of 40,000-45,000 units, but no source reports Luminate's pure album sales figure.
The evidence predates the deadline and does not include the required Luminate API report. A projected total-units range is not the same as Luminate's reported pure album sales figure.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the exact Pure Album Sales (Product Sales) value reported by Luminate's API as of 10:00 AM ET on Sunday, September 27, 2026. The available sources only mention a projected total units range from a news article, not Luminate's API figure for pure album sales.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A Luminate API report, or an official Luminate-derived chart/data report, showing 'Bass Persuades' pure album sales above 40,000 for the September 18-24, 2026 tracking week as of 10:00 AM ET on September 27, 2026.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.