polyrag

← Decided

Where will it rain on Aug 31, 2026? — Miami

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-01T04:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES bid 0.910 / ask 0.930 7.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. None.

What the contract requires

No criteria were extracted for this contract.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence from the Weather Company or weather.com/kalshi reporting precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami on August 31, 2026. All provided sources are forecasts, general weather reports for other locations, or unrelated news. The condition requires official data from the named authority, which is absent.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited

Adjudicated 43d ago. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.