Where will it rain on Oct 5, 2026? — New Orleans
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 9d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The total precipitation at CLIMSY in New Orleans on October 5, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by the Weather Company, accessible at https://weather.com/kalshi for the CLIMSY location.
Does not count.
- Precipitation measured at a location other than CLIMSY in New Orleans
- Precipitation reported by a source other than the Weather Company
- Precipitation value that is exactly 0 inches or trace
Deadline. 2026-10-05
- Trace amounts (T) — counted as 0 inches
- missing daily precipitation values — counted as 0 inches
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from the Weather Company or any source providing the official precipitation measurement at CLIMSY in New Orleans on October 5, 2026.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final value as reported by the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi for the CLIMSY location. None of the provided sources are from the Weather Company or contain that specific data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A direct report from the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi showing the total precipitation at CLIMSY on Oct 5, 2026, either >0 or =0.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.