Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026? — Oklahoma City
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-14T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 2h ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The total precipitation at station CLIOKC in Oklahoma City on October 13, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official value as reported by the Weather Company, accessible at https://weather.com/kalshi. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company.'
Does not count.
- Trace amounts (T) are counted as 0 inches, so they do not satisfy >0
- Missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches
Deadline. October 13, 2026 (resolution after data is available, no explicit deadline beyond the date)
- Trace — Counted as 0 inches
- missing daily precipitation values — Counted as 0 inches
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If the total precipitation at CLIOKC in Oklahoma City in Oct 13, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLIOKC can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
What the sources establish
No evidence in the provided sources addresses the precipitation at station CLIOKC in Oklahoma City on October 13, 2026, as reported by the Weather Company.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official value as reported by the Weather Company at weather.com/kalshi. None of the provided sources are from the Weather Company or reference CLIOKC or Oklahoma City precipitation data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official value from the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi for station CLIOKC on October 13, 2026, showing total precipitation strictly greater than 0 inches (or exactly 0 inches, including trace as 0).
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 30m ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.