Where will it rain on Sep 17, 2026? — Philadelphia
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-18T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 26d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Total precipitation at CLIPHL in Philadelphia on September 17, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value reported by the Weather Company, as published at https://weather.com/kalshi. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company' and 'Data for CLIPHL can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi'.
Does not count.
- Trace amounts (T) are counted as 0 inches and do not satisfy the >0 condition
- Missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches
Deadline. 2026-09-17 (the date of measurement; resolution occurs after data is available)
- CLIPHL — Weather station identifier in Philadelphia
- trace — A precipitation amount recorded as 'T' that is counted as 0 inches
- missing daily precipitation values — Counted as 0 inches
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from the Weather Company's official data for CLIPHL on September 17, 2026 is present. All sources are unrelated forecasts, news, or non-Philadelphia weather reports.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final value reported by the Weather Company, published at https://weather.com/kalshi. None of the provided sources are from that authority or contain that specific data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official precipitation value for CLIPHL on September 17, 2026, as published by the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 26d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.