Where will it rain on Sep 18, 2026? — Lexington
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-19T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 25d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves Yes if the total precipitation at CLILEX in Lexington on September 18, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, as reported by the Weather Company.
Named authority. Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the total daily precipitation for CLILEX as reported by the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company.' Trace amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
Does not count.
- Trace amounts (T) of precipitation
- Missing daily precipitation values
- Precipitation data from AccuWeather, Google Weather, or any source other than the Weather Company
Deadline. 2026-09-18
- CLILEX — The Lexington location identifier whose data is found at https://weather.com/kalshi.
- total precipitation — The daily precipitation total at CLLEX on September 18, 2026, measured in inches.
- Trace amounts (T) — Counted as 0 inches.
- missing daily precipitation values — Counted as 0 inches.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The retrieved sources are forecasts for other locations, generic weather pages, or NWS climate normals, and none establish the Weather Company's official CLILEX precipitation total for September 18, 2026.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final total daily precipitation for CLILEX as reported by the Weather Company at weather.com/kalshi. No source in the evidence provides that official Weather Company reading for Lexington on September 18, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Weather Company's official daily precipitation value for CLILEX at weather.com/kalshi for September 18, 2026, showing whether the total was strictly greater than 0 inches, would settle this market.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 25d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.