Where will it rain on Sep 18, 2026? — San Antonio
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-19T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 25d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-18T11:15:00
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves Yes if the total precipitation at CLISAT in San Antonio on September 18, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, as reported by the Weather Company.
Named authority. Weather Company (via https://weather.com/kalshi)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the precipitation amount for CLISAT on September 18, 2026 as reported by the Weather Company, with data found at https://weather.com/kalshi. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company.' Trace amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
Does not count.
- Trace amounts (T) are counted as 0 inches and do not make the value strictly greater than 0.
- Missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches and do not make the value strictly greater than 0.
- Precipitation reported by AccuWeather or Google Weather does not control; only the Weather Company's CLISAT data is final.
- Precipitation at other San Antonio locations not recorded at CLISAT does not count.
Deadline. 2026-09-18
- CLISAT — The weather station in San Antonio whose data is found at https://weather.com/kalshi.
- total precipitation — The daily precipitation total at CLISAT on September 18, 2026.
- Trace amounts (T) — Counted as 0 inches.
- missing daily precipitation values — Counted as 0 inches.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No retrieved source provides the official Weather Company CLISAT precipitation total for September 18, 2026. The available sources are forecasts or unrelated weather articles, so the resolution condition is not established.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final daily precipitation total for CLISAT on September 18, 2026, as reported by the Weather Company at https://weather.com/kalshi. The only San Antonio-related source is a forecast article, not an official Weather Company CLISAT measurement, and it does not report the required final precipitation value.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Weather Company's official CLISAT daily precipitation value for September 18, 2026, as shown at https://weather.com/kalshi, stating either a measurable amount greater than 0 inches or a value of 0/T/missing.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 25d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.