Where will it rain on Sep 21, 2026? — Dallas
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-22T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 22d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Total precipitation at CLIDFW in Dallas on September 21, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by the Weather Company, accessible at https://weather.com/kalshi. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company.'
Does not count.
- Trace amounts (T) do not count as precipitation greater than 0 inches
- Missing daily precipitation values do not count as precipitation greater than 0 inches
Deadline. 2026-09-21
- Trace amounts (T) — counted as 0 inches
- missing daily precipitation values — counted as 0 inches
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source in the evidence reports the actual precipitation total at CLIDFW for September 21, 2026, and none is the required Weather Company official final value. Therefore the condition is not established either way.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official and final precipitation value as reported by The Weather Company at weather.com/kalshi. The provided sources are NWS climate pages, historical-weather tools, and Kalshi marketing pages; none show The Weather Company's official CLIDFW precipitation value for September 21, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Weather Company's official final daily precipitation value for CLIDFW for September 21, 2026, as shown at weather.com/kalshi, stating either a measurable amount greater than 0 inches (already_yes) or 0.00/T/missing (already_no).
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 21d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.