Where will it rain on Sep 23, 2026? — Columbus
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 20d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Total precipitation at CLICMH in Columbus on September 23, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches.
Named authority. Weather Company; weather.com/kalshi
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by the Weather Company, specifically from the data at https://weather.com/kalshi. Trace amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.
Does not count.
- Trace amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are not counted as positive (they are zero).
- Data from AccuWeather, Google Weather, or any source other than the Weather Company's official report is not authoritative.
Deadline. 2026-09-23
- total precipitation — The daily precipitation value for CLICMH as reported by the Weather Company, with trace amounts (T) and missing values counted as 0 inches.
- CLICMH — A weather station identifier for Columbus, Ohio.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from the required authority (Weather Company via weather.com/kalshi) shows actual precipitation at CLICMH on September 23, 2026. All provided sources are either forecasts, about other locations, or unrelated.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final value from the Weather Company at weather.com/kalshi for CLICMH. No source provided meets this standard; the available sources are either forecasts, irrelevant locations, or non-authoritative.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A direct report from weather.com/kalshi for CLICMH on 2026-09-23 showing a daily precipitation value (either >0 inches or 0 inches, with trace/missing counted as 0).
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 20d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.