Who will speak at the 2026 Republican Midterm Convention? — Ken Paxton
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-12T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 39d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Ken Paxton personally delivers attributable spoken remarks as part of official Republican Midterm Convention programming at American Airlines Center on September 9 or 10, 2026.
Named authority. Source Agency
Does not count.
- Attendance, a silent stage appearance, being mentioned or shown in an image or b-roll, an outside media interview, a rally, a fundraiser, or an unofficial side event does not qualify.
- Being scheduled without actually speaking does not qualify.
- A report that a person is expected or scheduled to speak does not by itself confirm that the person has spoken.
Deadline. 2026-09-10
- speaks — personally delivers attributable spoken remarks as part of official Republican Midterm Convention programming at American Airlines Center on September 9 or 10, 2026. Live podium remarks, an official panel, an introduction, an in-program interview or moderated discussion, and an official prerecorded speech segment qualify.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All cited sources predate the convention and only report that a speaker lineup was revealed or that Paxton is involved, not that Paxton actually delivered remarks at American Airlines Center on September 9 or 10, 2026.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A report from the named authority, Source Agency, or equivalent official convention documentation/transcript/video showing Ken Paxton personally delivering qualifying spoken remarks during official Republican Midterm Convention programming at American Airlines Center on September 9 or 10, 2026.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 37d ago · retrieval: pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.