How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 12
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-01T14:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. None.
- Price reached near-certainty: not recorded — we hold no price history for this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
No criteria were extracted for this contract.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The evidence shows at least one SpaceX launch in August 2026 (the Roman Space Telescope on Aug 30), but provides no total count of launches for the month. Without a complete manifest or official tally, it is impossible to determine whether the number exceeds 12. The deadline has not yet passed.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 44d ago. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.