Most popular AI this week — Tencent
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-07T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 37d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-04T14:40:50
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Tencent is the model author company of the single model with the greatest weekly token volume on the OpenRouter Top Models chart for the week of August 31, 2026.
Named authority. OpenRouter
Form the evidence must take. The updated values for the week of August 31, 2026, as displayed on the OpenRouter Top Models chart. The chart shows weekly token volume per model; the top model's author company must be Tencent.
Does not count.
- Tencent having the greatest aggregate token volume across all its models without a single model being the top
- Any model not from Tencent being the top model
- Tied rank resolved by publisher's tie-breaking; if tied, resolution is $1/(number of tied candidates) rounded down
Deadline. Week of August 31, 2026 (resolved after that week's data is published)
- Highest usage model company — the model author company of the single model with the greatest weekly token volume as displayed on the OpenRouter Top Models chart, not the company with the greatest aggregate token volume across all of its models
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from the named authority (OpenRouter) has been provided; the supplied sources do not include the OpenRouter Top Models chart for that week, so the condition cannot be confirmed or denied.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the OpenRouter Top Models chart for the week of August 31, 2026, showing weekly token volume per model. No such chart is present in the evidence; the closest source is a news article (source 8) that mentions Chinese models leading token volume generally, but it does not provide the specific chart or data from OpenRouter.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The OpenRouter Top Models chart for the week of August 31, 2026, showing the model with the greatest weekly token volume and its author company, published by OpenRouter before the deadline.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 37d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.