When will Trump officially rename AI? — Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 14d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-29T20:47:10
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Donald Trump personally signs a presidential action (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding) that formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for 'Artificial Intelligence' or 'AI' for United States official use, and the action is publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before October 1, 2026.
Named authority. Source Agency (unspecified)
Form the evidence must take. The action must be a signed presidential document of the specified types (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), signed by the President personally, and must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency. The rules do not define 'Source Agency' further; typical sources include the White House website or the Federal Register. The document must explicitly address the topic in its operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
Does not count.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic
- Statements without formal action
- Actions by cabinet members
- Legislative proposals without executive action
- Signing statements
- Ceremonial proclamations without policy impact (unless specifically included)
- Informal, honorary, or agency-only labels
Deadline. 2026-10-01
- topic — the preexisting official designation Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use
- replacement name — any name that replaces 'Artificial Intelligence' or 'AI'
- United States official use — use by the federal government
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Trump signed an executive order on or around September 29–30, 2026, directing federal agencies to replace 'Artificial Intelligence' and 'AI' with 'Super Intelligence' and 'SI' in official U.S. government use.
Multiple independent news outlets report that President Trump signed an executive order renaming AI to 'Super Intelligence' before the October 1, 2026 deadline, and the White House is cited as the source of the announcement. The evidence is consistent, dated, and directly addresses the condition.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 13d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.