Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 24, 2026? — 38.8%

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T16:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 9 → 97 in the last 48h bid 0.970 / ask 0.980 2.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

Price reached near-certainty: 19d ago
Earliest cited source published: undated
Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.

What the contract requires

Condition. The 'Approve' column value in the 'RCP Average' row of the 'President Trump Job Approval' table on RealClearPolitics is exactly 38.8% at 1:00 PM ET on September 24, 2026.

Named authority. RealClearPolitics (RCP) – specifically the table 'President Trump Job Approval'

Form the evidence must take. The sole resolution source is the value displayed in the 'Approve' column of the 'RCP Average' row within the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval' on the RealClearPolitics website at the specified time. No other medium or documentation is specified, but the live website data at that moment determines the outcome.

Does not count.

Any value from a different column (e.g., 'Disapprove'), different row, different table, different website, or any time other than exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026.

Deadline. 2026-09-24T13:00:00-04:00 (1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026)

RCP approval average — The value in the 'Approve' column of the 'RCP Average' row in the table titled 'President Trump Job Approval' on RealClearPolitics.
exactly 38.8% — The numerical value must be precisely 38.8, not rounded or approximated.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No source provides the actual RCP 'President Trump Job Approval' table value at the required time. Third-party reports mention poll averages but do not give the specific 38.8% figure from the correct table row and column.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution source is the live RealClearPolitics table at the specified time. No evidence shows that table's content at 1:00 PM ET on Sep 24, 2026.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

A direct capture (e.g., screenshot or verified archival record) of the RealClearPolitics 'President Trump Job Approval' table showing the 'RCP Average' row with 'Approve' column exactly 38.8% at 1:00 PM ET on September 24, 2026.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited

Jueves 24 de septiembre 2026 ↗

Poll: Low Trump Approval Rating In NH ↗

President Trump’s approval rating in New Hampshire is at a new low according to a Granite State Poll from the UNH Survey Center. Seventy-five percent of respondents think the Iran war is going poorly and most believe it cannot be won. The survey found 67-percent disapprove of Trump’s overall job per

Trump’s Approval Numbers Worsen. Americans Don’t Like Policies on Iran, Economy, Inflation. ↗

by R. Cort Kirkwood, The New American: President Trump’s job approval is not improving, the latest round up of polls by Real Clear Politics shows. Almost 60 percent of those polled, the RCP average shows, disapprove of his overall performance. Trump’s worst number is on inflation. Almost 70 percent

Trump Approval at Record Low in Another Poll ↗

A new CNN/SSRS poll finds President Donald Trump’s approval at 33%, while 67% disapprove. Trump Approval Approve 33% Disapprove 67% CNN/SSRS poll · registered voters · ±3.8%

New NBC News poll shows President Trump’s approval rating at second-term low ↗

According to the new survey released Sunday, 56% of registered voters say they disapprove of the job the president is doing while 41% approve. That's a new second-term low for President Trump in the NBC News poll. The post New NBC News poll shows President Trump’s approval rating at second-term low

Trump Job Approval Falls to 29% in New Poll as Economic Ratings Slide Further ↗

President Donald Trump’s job approval has fallen to 29% in a new national American Research Group poll, while 68% of Americans disapprove of his performance, according to the survey released Monday. The same poll found an even lower rating for Trump’s handling of the economy, with 26% approving and

TRUMP APPROVAL CRASHES TO 29% ↗

Our national monthly survey on presidential performance and the economy has lost subscribers over concerns that any unfavorable results may upset the current administration. We need your support to continue providing unbiased insights. Please join us in continuing this monthly survey. September 21,

Declining polls for President Trump ↗

There is not a single major issue on which President Trump receives a positive net approval rating, according to RealClearPolitics. The President is underwater across the board, with inflation standing […] The post Declining polls for President Trump appeared first on Electronics Weekly .

Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.