What will Trump say this week? — Moon
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-07T14:00
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 37d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-06T22:06:52
- Price as shown: not current. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Donald Trump states the word 'Moon' (or a plural or possessive form) in a public statement, a direct quote published by a Source Agency, or on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social) between August 31, 2026 at 8:30am ET and September 7, 2026 at 12:00am ET.
Named authority. Donald Trump; Source Agencies
Does not count.
- Official acts such as Executive Orders or bills signed
- Grammatical or tense inflections (e.g., 'mooned', 'moons' as a verb)
Deadline. September 7, 2026 at 12:00am ET
- Moon — the exact word 'Moon', or its plural form 'Moons', or possessive form 'Moon's'
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Donald Trump posted 'The Moon Is Ours' on his Truth Social account on September 6, 2026, which includes the word 'Moon'.
The condition requires Trump to state 'Moon' on his personal social media accounts within the specified window; multiple sources confirm he did so on Truth Social on September 6, 2026, which is within the period and before the deadline.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 37d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.