What will Trump say in September? — Antifa
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T14:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 21d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Donald Trump states the word “Antifa” (or a plural or possessive form of it) before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, in a public statement, a direct quote published by Source Agencies, or a written public statement on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
Named authority. Source Agencies
Form the evidence must take. The word must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact word/phrase, or a plural or possessive form, must be used. Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count, and grammatical/tense inflections do not count.
Does not count.
- Official acts such as Executive Orders or bills signed do not count.
- Grammatical/tense inflections do not count.
Deadline. 2026-10-01T00:00:00-04:00
- Antifa — The exact word 'Antifa'; plural or possessive forms of 'Antifa' also satisfy the criterion.
- stated — Spoken or written by Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social).
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence shows Trump stating the word 'Antifa' in any of the required forms before the deadline. The deadline has not yet passed, so the condition remains possible but unestablished.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require Trump to state the word 'Antifa' in a public statement, a direct quote published by Source Agencies, or a written public statement on his personal social media accounts. None of the provided sources contain any such statement by Trump; they only mention 'Antifa' in third-party reporting about his past designation.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A direct quote from Trump saying 'Antifa' published by a Source Agency, or a Truth Social/Twitter post by Trump containing the word 'Antifa' (or a plural/possessive form), before Oct 1, 2026.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 21d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.