polyrag

← Decided

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)? — Above 38.6%

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-04T13:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES bid 0.950 / ask 0.960 4.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. None.

What the contract requires

No criteria were extracted for this contract.

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The contract requires the VoteHub approval polling average at the deadline, but none of the provided sources mention VoteHub or its polling average. All sources reference other polls (e.g., New York Times, ActiVote, CBS/YouGov) which are not the named authority.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited

Adjudicated 39d ago. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.